I’d like to see what people think about those daily pack offers for dino bucks. I’ve always been of the idea that they just aren’t worth it but today I decided to go for one of the packs because it had a bunch of dinosaurs that I don’t have unlocked.
In terms of pure DNA value this pack is about 950DB (if you’re a VIP) for a total of 2,000DNA.
Here is the break down. We value the rare dino at around 500DNA. This is just a ball park average but I think its good enough for this calculation.
The rest of the pack has:
- First slot has 100% chance of 1,000 DNA,
- Second slot has 100% food
- Third slot has 50% chance of 1,000 DNA.
The food isn’t really valuable so we can ignore it. If we take the average of the DNA possibilities, that gives a total value of 2,000DNA for 950DBs.
If this trade was in the trade harbour, I wouldn’t take it, since I value DBs much more than DNA due to their rarity and the many things you can do with them. However, this calculation doesn’t account for the possibility of an unlocked dinosaur. These packs tend to have higher probabilities of delivering dinos that we haven’t unlocked (I believe that a Ludia rep made a comment about the gyrosphere packs being designed in a similar way). Trying to purchase a rare dino with DBs directly is around 1750 DBs so there is definitely value there.
I ended up getting a Corythosaurus. Not a particularly outstanding dino and one that doesn’t have a hybrid, so not great. I think the value needs to be in the odds of getting a dino that is really useful. Thinking about this a little more I think I would value DNA at around 3 to 1 for DBs, so I would be ok converting 1000DBs to 3000 DNA, or vice versa. Given this, then the pack needs that extra 1000 DNA in value. Is that 1000DNA worth the odds of getting that awesome dinosaur I wanted?
Probably not, but it does depend. I think that if you’re desperately looking for that last unlocked dino to unlock a hybrid or a bunch of badge slots then it might be worth it.
- These are definitely not worth the DBs without the VIP discount.
- With the discount, they are only worth it if they guarantee enough DNA and if you have relatively good chances of scoring an important unlocked dino, preferably a few different ones with around 10% chance.