There are so many complaints about the rng on this forum and some clear misunderstandings about statistics and chance, that i thought i just should do some math.

Let’s start with the answer to the question: “What are the chances the enemy Mono/Indo dodges 8 times in a row???”

The probability is 50%, therefore 8 times in row happens (1/2)^8 = 0.0039 = about 0.4% of the time. So 4 times out a 1000 (not one-in-a-million).

How many fights do you fight per day? How often you come up against Mono/Indo? How Many Players are on this forum?

Let’s say you do 10 fights a day, with 60% of the time you come up against either Mono or Indo who uses Evasive. Then, if there are 1000 players active on this forum, there will be about 6000 fights a day which someone could complain about here. Therefore there should be about 24 cases **each day** for all forum members together where a Mono/Indo dodges 8 times. If only 4% of players actually complain about this happening on the forum there is a complaint every day.

(I heard some arguments, that the math is wrong if the chance is 50% but this statistic is not fullfilled every fight. If this statistic would be enforced every fight then if a Mono dodges 4 times in a row i would know the next 4 times it won’t. Which of course doesn’t make any sense. It is important to realise, that even if it dodged 10 times in a row, the chance for it to happen the next time is still 50%)

And until now i only talked about dodges. Let’s now add Stuns and crits.

4 crits in a row for Indo? Each one is 20%, therefore 0.2^4 = 0.0016 = 0.16% so just about one third of the 8 dodges in a row, so 10 instances for the people on this forum everyday.

3 Stuns in a row for Trago? 0.75^3 equals about 42%. In 4 out of 10 games this will happen if Trago actually is able to use his stun 3 times. Which of course gets more and more likely the more often he stuns.

And for my last argument: Why don’t we hear about cases where Mono **didn’t** dodge for 8 consecutive times he used evasive? Because he is dead. After about 3 attacks in a row actually hitting a Mono (which is just one actual use of evasive) any Mono should be dead.

You see, what we see here on this forum is massivly biased. What do you complain about here? Of course only the bad stuff that happens. Nobody complains about his 4 crits in a row. Therefore, if one just reads about all the “unlikly” stuff happening on this forum, one could come to the conclusion this games rng is seriously broken. I say, this is just (normal) human bias.

Thank you for your attention.