I had a phase with more than 3,500 tournament fights without a main win. That’s a probability of 0.028%. At that point I stopped to keep track because it was so frustrating. It took some more months after that with a lot of additional tournament fights before I got a main prize, I think it was Tarbosaurus.
My rough assumption based on this experience is that the probability is less than 0.02%…5,000 fights for one main prize.
I always think that I’m the luckiest because, last year I won 5 main packs (i shared in this forum) this year two, last year I won 3 at vip tournaments, this year one at vip tournament. Maybe vip tournaments have a better chance, i don’t know…
Before my time of joining the forums, in august, in the trike gen 2 tournament, I scored back to back tourney packs. Was literally screaming, especially since I was in hunter league.
Ngl I just have the DB to dump into creating it. I’m also stockpiling DCs to sell if/when it happens. I wanna be prepared to dump loads of resources into any amphib hybrid… TBH I am already getting 2 L40 copies of each Amphib in preparation of the big whenif.